Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.002119 0.002228 0.002343 0.002473 0.002619 0.002776 0.002961
2025-05-18 0.001969 0.002122 0.002292 0.002497 0.002739 0.003021 0.003381
2025-05-25 0.001839 0.002018 0.002222 0.002478 0.002796 0.003189 0.003729
2025-06-01 0.001729 0.001921 0.002146 0.002438 0.002814 0.003303 0.004018
2025-06-08 0.001682 0.001892 0.002145 0.002484 0.002940 0.003566 0.004556
2025-06-15 0.001633 0.001856 0.002131 0.002508 0.003036 0.003797 0.005096
2025-06-22 0.001569 0.001796 0.002080 0.002478 0.003050 0.003906 0.005462
2025-06-29 0.001508 0.001736 0.002024 0.002435 0.003039 0.003973 0.005768
2025-07-06 0.001461 0.001691 0.001986 0.002412 0.003054 0.004081 0.006176
2025-07-13 0.001388 0.001609 0.001894 0.002307 0.002934 0.003948 0.006061
2025-07-20 0.001354 0.001577 0.001868 0.002295 0.002956 0.004061 0.006504
2025-07-27 0.001336 0.001566 0.001868 0.002320 0.003039 0.004291 0.007306
2025-08-03 0.001307 0.001538 0.001846 0.002313 0.003072 0.004444 0.008009
2025-08-10 0.001293 0.001532 0.001853 0.002351 0.003184 0.004771 0.009430
2025-08-17 0.001266 0.001505 0.001830 0.002340 0.003211 0.004930 0.010456
2025-08-24 0.001233 0.001470 0.001794 0.002306 0.003194 0.004989 0.011178
2025-08-31 0.001224 0.001468 0.001805 0.002349 0.003318 0.005397 0.013926
2025-09-07 0.001211 0.001458 0.001804 0.002371 0.003408 0.005748 0.017229
2025-09-14 0.001185 0.001430 0.001775 0.002344 0.003399 0.005845 0.019202
2025-09-21 0.001157 0.001399 0.001740 0.002305 0.003364 0.005866 0.020714
2025-09-28 0.001135 0.001375 0.001716 0.002285 0.003363 0.005983 0.023678
2025-10-05 0.001095 0.001325 0.001650 0.002190 0.003205 0.005628 0.020637
2025-10-12 0.001078 0.001307 0.001633 0.002179 0.003219 0.005773 0.024035